Large Language Models

No Global Plan in Chain-of-Thought: Uncover the Latent Planning Horizon of LLMs

LLiyan XuMMo YuFFandong MengJJie Zhou
Published
February 2, 2026
Authors
4
Word Count
15,286
Code
Includes code

LLMs reason step-by-step, not with a grand plan.

Abstract

This work stems from prior complementary observations on the dynamics of Chain-of-Thought (CoT): Large Language Models (LLMs) is shown latent planning of subsequent reasoning prior to CoT emergence, thereby diminishing the significance of explicit CoT; whereas CoT remains critical for tasks requiring multi-step reasoning. To deepen the understanding between LLM's internal states and its verbalized reasoning trajectories, we investigate the latent planning strength of LLMs, through our probing method, Tele-Lens, applying to hidden states across diverse task domains. Our empirical results indicate that LLMs exhibit a myopic horizon, primarily conducting incremental transitions without precise global planning. Leveraging this characteristic, we propose a hypothesis on enhancing uncertainty estimation of CoT, which we validate that a small subset of CoT positions can effectively represent the uncertainty of the entire path. We further underscore the significance of exploiting CoT dynamics, and demonstrate that automatic recognition of CoT bypass can be achieved without performance degradation. Our code, data and models are released at https://github.com/lxucs/tele-lens.

Key Takeaways

  • 1

    LLMs reason step-by-step, not with a global plan.

  • 2

    Tele-Lens method reveals LLMs' latent planning horizon.

  • 3

    Understanding LLMs' reasoning improves model development.

Limitations

  • Tele-Lens method may not capture all reasoning nuances.

  • Study focuses on specific LLM architectures and tasks.

Keywords

Chain-of-ThoughtLarge Language Modelslatent planninghidden statesTele-Lensmulti-step reasoninguncertainty estimationCoT dynamics

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